Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Minas Brasilia W vs Itabirito W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Bruna Marques
79' Event
Ayala Florentin C. M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brasileiro A2 Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Minas Brasilia W
33%
Draws
27%
Itabirito W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Minas Brasilia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Minas Brasilia W lately — more wins on the board than Itabirito W.
  • Minas Brasilia W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Minas Brasilia W Clean Sheet 68%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minas Brasilia W Itabirito W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Minas Brasilia W vs Itabirito W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minas Brasilia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayala Florentin C. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Itabirito W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruna Marques
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minas Brasilia W 50 / 100
Itabirito W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minas Brasilia W Itabirito W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minas Brasilia W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Itabirito W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Minas Brasilia W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minas Brasilia W VS Itabirito W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Minas Brasilia W

(Home)
31 May
Minas Brasilia W
3 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
27 May
Fluminense W
2 : 0
Minas Brasilia W
23 May
Taubate W
0 : 0
Minas Brasilia W
19 May
Perolas Negras W
1 : 2
Minas Brasilia W
16 May
Minas Brasilia W
5 : 0
Paysandu PA W
Page 1 of 6

Itabirito W

(Away)
21 Jul
Itabirito W
0 : 1
Bahia W
31 May
Itabirito W
2 : 1
Atletico-PI W
27 May
Itabirito W
2 : 1
Sport Recife W
24 May
Acao W
0 : 1
Itabirito W
20 May
Itabirito W
3 : 0
UD Alagoana W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco W12111043:834
2Itabirito W12101123:631
3Minas Brasilia W1292128:629
4Atletico-PI W1290329:1027
5Acao W1262415:1320
63B da Amazonia W1245312:1017
7Sport Recife W1252513:1417
8Perolas Negras W1244416:1816
9Taubate W1242619:1714
10Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W1242612:2214
11Ceara W1241712:1813
12Doce Mel W123459:1813
13Vila Nova FC W1231812:2710
14Paysandu PA W123189:2410
15Itacoatiara W1211109:294
16UD Alagoana W1211107:284
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)