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Mindelense vs Academico do Sal

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academico do Sal in this Campeonato Nacional 2011 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mindelense
20%
Draws
23%
Academico do Sal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mindelense lately — more wins on the board than Academico do Sal.
  • Model gives Mindelense a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Mindelense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mindelense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mindelense have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 20%
Academico do Sal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mindelense Academico do Sal
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 17 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Academico do Sal
3:0
Jun 17, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs Mindelense
0:2
May 27, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Academico do Sal
2:0
Jun 11, 2016 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs Mindelense
0:2
May 31, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs Mindelense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mindelense 85 / 100
Academico do Sal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mindelense Academico do Sal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mindelense found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Academico do Sal let in goals in 71% of their last 24 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Mindelense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mindelense VS Academico do Sal
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.17
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mindelense

(Home)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
Page 1 of 7

Academico do Sal

(Away)
13 Jun
Cutelinho
1 : 1
Academico do Sal
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Mindelense
3 : 0
Academico do Sal
23 May
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
09 May
Boavista da Praia
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mindelense 2
Academico do Sal 2
Academica Porto Novo 2
Sporting Praia 5
Final
Mindelense 1
Sporting Praia 0