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Mineiros vs Guanabara City

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Emerson Galego
(Penalty)
74' Event
Kauan F.
90' Event
Fernando L.

AI Match Summary

Mineiros in this Goiano 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mineiros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mineiros
20%
Draws
38%
Guanabara City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mineiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Mineiros have won more games recently than Guanabara City.
  • Model gives Mineiros a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mineiros Clean Sheet 17%
Guanabara City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mineiros Guanabara City
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Goiano 3
Mineiros vs Guanabara City
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 Goiano 3
Mineiros vs Guanabara City
1:1
Sep 30, 2024 Goiano 3
Guanabara City vs Mineiros
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Goiano 3
Mineiros vs Guanabara City
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Goiano 3
Guanabara City vs Mineiros
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mineiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernando L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Guanabara City Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mineiros 41 / 100
Guanabara City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mineiros Guanabara City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mineiros's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Mineiros went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Guanabara City conceded in 57% of 23 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mineiros VS Guanabara City
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uruacu641116:1113
2Tupy FC640215:712
3Rio Verde631219:710
4Pires do Rio60065:300
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mineiros843114:615
2Guanabara City84229:514
3Bela Vista FC835013:714
4Itaberai81256:155
5America GO80446:154
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aparecida EC63219:511
2Itumbiara63218:611
3Cerrado EC62228:88
4Rioverdense60243:92