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Mineiros vs Guanabara City

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2024
Sat, Oct 12, 2024
1 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mineiros play Guanabara City in the Goiano 3 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mineiros averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Guanabara City averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. In past meetings, Mineiros won 2, Guanabara City won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 26, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Mineiros and 1.38 for Guanabara City. This points to a Mineiros double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mineiros
17%
Draws
40%
Guanabara City
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mineiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Mineiros picked up more points recently compared to Guanabara City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Mineiros Clean Sheet 17%
Guanabara City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mineiros Guanabara City
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.6 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Goiano 3
Mineiros vs Guanabara City
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 Goiano 3
Mineiros vs Guanabara City
1:1
Sep 30, 2024 Goiano 3
Guanabara City vs Mineiros
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Goiano 3
Mineiros vs Guanabara City
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Goiano 3
Guanabara City vs Mineiros
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mineiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Dourado
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Guanabara City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mineiros 42 / 100
Guanabara City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mineiros Guanabara City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mineiros or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mineiros attacking → ← attacking Guanabara City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mineiros scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Guanabara City let in goals in 57% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Mineiros went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Guanabara City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 37
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00