Sport Picks

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Mineros de Fresnillo vs Cimarrones de Sonora

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo Logo

Mineros de Fresnillo

1 - 1
FT
Cimarrones de Sonora Logo

Cimarrones de Sonora

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
59' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mineros de Fresnillo
33%
Draws
27%
Cimarrones de Sonora
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mineros de Fresnillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cimarrones de Sonora come out ahead of Mineros de Fresnillo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mineros de Fresnillo a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Cimarrones de Sonora arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cimarrones de Sonora, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Mineros de Fresnillo Clean Sheet 68%
Cimarrones de Sonora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mineros de Fresnillo Cimarrones de Sonora
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 2.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Mineros de Fresnillo
1:1
Apr 15, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Cimarrones de Sonora
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Cimarrones de Sonora
2:3
Sep 6, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Mineros de Fresnillo
1:0
Mar 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Mineros de Fresnillo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mineros de Fresnillo 50 / 100
Cimarrones de Sonora 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mineros de Fresnillo Cimarrones de Sonora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mineros de Fresnillo scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Mineros de Fresnillo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cimarrones de Sonora has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mineros de Fresnillo VS Cimarrones de Sonora
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mineros de Fresnillo

(Home)
19 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 : 1
Mineros de Fresnillo
15 Apr
Mineros de Fresnillo
1 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora
11 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1
Mineros de Fresnillo
28 Mar
Mineros de Fresnillo
6 : 2
Reboceros de La Piedad
21 Mar
Colima FC
0 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 6

Cimarrones de Sonora

(Away)
26 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 2
Celaya
23 Apr
Celaya
2 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora
19 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 : 1
Mineros de Fresnillo
15 Apr
Mineros de Fresnillo
1 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora
11 Apr
Zapotlanejo
0 : 4
Cimarrones de Sonora
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Cimarrones de Sonora2
Mineros de Fresnillo2
Leones Negros 21
Celaya7
Final
Cimarrones de Sonora3
Celaya4