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Mineros vs Aragua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2 Estadio Cachamay, Ciudad Guayana
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Pacheco D.
70' Event
Rivero V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga FUTVE 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Mineros
20%
Draws
45%
Aragua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aragua lately — more wins on the board than Mineros.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Mineros Clean Sheet 16%
Aragua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mineros Aragua
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.46 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Mineros vs Aragua
1:1
May 23, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Mineros
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Mineros vs Aragua
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Mineros vs Aragua
3:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Mineros
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mineros Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacheco D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Aragua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mineros 31 / 100
Aragua 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mineros Aragua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aragua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mineros scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Aragua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Mineros went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mineros VS Aragua
3 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mineros

(Home)
07 Oct
Mineros
1 : 0
Monagas
04 Oct
Mineros
3 : 2
Deportivo Miranda
27 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 1
Mineros
20 Sept
Dynamo Puerto FC
0 : 0
Mineros
13 Sept
Mineros
4 : 1
Bolivar
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Aragua

(Away)
07 Oct
Barquisimeto
1 : 4
Aragua
27 Sept
Aragua
1 : 0
Avila
20 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1
Aragua
13 Sept
Aragua
2 : 1
Deportivo Miranda
09 Sept
Yaracuyanos
2 : 5
Aragua
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 29 19 6 4 51:22 63
2 Barquisimeto 29 15 8 6 52:32 53
3 Yaracuyanos 29 13 7 9 41:28 46
4 Urena 29 12 10 7 41:34 46
5 Zamora 2 29 11 7 11 46:44 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 30 11 7 12 40:50 40
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 30 9 7 14 38:44 34
8 Atletico Barinas 30 9 5 16 50:61 32
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 22:66 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 24 13 6 5 40:26 45
2 Deportivo Miranda 24 12 5 7 32:21 41
3 Bolivar 25 12 4 9 31:29 40
4 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 24 8 8 8 27:26 32
6 Mineros 25 5 9 11 29:33 24
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 24 2 10 12 13:31 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)