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Minerul Lupeni vs CSM Targu Jiu

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 6
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minerul Lupeni play CSM Targu Jiu in the Liga 3 - Seria 6. It looks like a close match. Recently, Minerul Lupeni averaged 1.58 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. CSM Targu Jiu averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Minerul Lupeni won 1, CSM Targu Jiu won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Minerul Lupeni and 1.13 for CSM Targu Jiu. This points to a Minerul Lupeni double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Minerul Lupeni
24%
Draws
28%
CSM Targu Jiu
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Minerul Lupeni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Minerul Lupeni picked up more points recently compared to CSM Targu Jiu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Minerul Lupeni Clean Sheet 21%
CSM Targu Jiu Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerul Lupeni CSM Targu Jiu
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.58 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Minerul Lupeni vs CSM Targu Jiu
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 6
CSM Targu Jiu vs Minerul Lupeni
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerul Lupeni 47 / 100
CSM Targu Jiu 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerul Lupeni CSM Targu Jiu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Minerul Lupeni or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Minerul Lupeni attacking → ← attacking CSM Targu Jiu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minerul Lupeni scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

CSM Targu Jiu let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Minerul Lupeni went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CSM Targu Jiu lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 43
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ramnicu Valcea22165155:2053
2Minerul Lupeni22124633:2340
3Farcasesti22115652:4138
4Jiul Petrosani22107535:2237
5ACS Medias22114747:3537
6Pausesti-Otasau22931030:4330
7Inter Sibiu22841031:3528
8Muscelul Muscel2269734:3327
9CSM Targu Jiu2276926:3327
10Unirea Bascov22651133:3723
11Viitorul Daesti22291131:4715
12Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti22231715:539