Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Minerul Lupeni vs FC Botosani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup
Wed, Dec 2, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Romanian Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. FC Botosani have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Minerul Lupeni have conceded 0.79 and scored 1.21. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.88, favoring Minerul Lupeni. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Minerul Lupeni
20%
Draws
29%
FC Botosani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Minerul Lupeni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Minerul Lupeni have won more games recently than FC Botosani.
  • Minerul Lupeni are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Minerul Lupeni have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Minerul Lupeni Clean Sheet 20%
FC Botosani Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerul Lupeni FC Botosani
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerul Lupeni 58 / 100
FC Botosani 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerul Lupeni FC Botosani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minerul Lupeni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minerul Lupeni scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

FC Botosani let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Minerul Lupeni has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: FC Botosani has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Minerul Lupeni VS FC Botosani
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Minerul Lupeni

(Home)
23 Oct
CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin
3 : 0
Minerul Lupeni
17 Oct
Minerul Lupeni
1 : 1
Pausesti-Otasau
09 Oct
CSO Filiasi
0 : 1
Minerul Lupeni
03 Oct
Minerul Lupeni
2 : 0
Curtisoara
26 Sept
Farcasesti
2 : 1
Minerul Lupeni
Page 1 of 6

FC Botosani

(Away)
23 Oct
FC Botosani
1 : 3
Petrolul
16 Oct
Dinamo Bucuresti
2 : 0
FC Botosani
10 Oct
FC Botosani
2 : 0
FC UTA Arad
19 Sept
CFR Cluj
3 : 1
FC Botosani
13 Sept
Campionii Arges
1 : 1
FC Botosani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC UTA Arad 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Rapid Bucuresti 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
3 Corvinul Hunedoara 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
4 FC Botosani 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
5 Politehnica Timisoara 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
6 Minerul Lupeni 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitatea Cluj 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Concordia 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
3 CFR Cluj 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Petrolul 2 1 0 1 6:1 3
5 Sepsi 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
6 Progresul Spartac 2 0 0 2 2:11 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bihor 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 FCSB 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 Miercurea Ciuc 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
4 CSM Corona Brasov 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
5 Gloria Bistrita 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
6 Campionii Arges 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Univ. Craiova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Voluntari 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 FC Bacau 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Chindia Targoviste 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
6 Sporting Liesti 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)