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Minerul Lupeni vs Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 6
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 6 game between Minerul Lupeni and Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minerul Lupeni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Minerul Lupeni
6%
Draws
4%
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Minerul Lupeni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Minerul Lupeni come out ahead of Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti on wins alone.
  • Minerul Lupeni are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Minerul Lupeni Clean Sheet 20%
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerul Lupeni Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 2
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 24
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Minerul Lupeni vs Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
2:0
Sep 23, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti vs Minerul Lupeni
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerul Lupeni 85 / 100
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerul Lupeni Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Minerul Lupeni scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Minerul Lupeni went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minerul Lupeni VS Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ramnicu Valcea22165155:2053
2Minerul Lupeni22124633:2340
3Farcasesti22115652:4138
4Jiul Petrosani22107535:2237
5ACS Medias22114747:3537
6Pausesti-Otasau22931030:4330
7Inter Sibiu22841031:3528
8Muscelul Muscel2269734:3327
9CSM Targu Jiu2276926:3327
10Unirea Bascov22651133:3723
11Viitorul Daesti22291131:4715
12Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti22231715:539