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Minerul Lupeni vs Pausesti-Otasau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 6
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minerul Lupeni host Pausesti-Otasau in the Liga 3 - Seria 6. This has Minerul Lupeni written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Minerul Lupeni at 1.48 goals for, 0.64 against; Pausesti-Otasau at 1.32 for, 1.57 against. Past meetings favor Minerul Lupeni slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2025, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Minerul Lupeni to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Minerul Lupeni
30%
Draws
28%
Pausesti-Otasau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Minerul Lupeni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Pausesti-Otasau haven't matched Minerul Lupeni's recent run of results.
  • Minerul Lupeni are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Minerul Lupeni Clean Sheet 20%
Pausesti-Otasau Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerul Lupeni Pausesti-Otasau
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 23 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Minerul Lupeni vs Pausesti-Otasau
4:0
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Pausesti-Otasau vs Minerul Lupeni
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerul Lupeni 40 / 100
Pausesti-Otasau 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerul Lupeni Pausesti-Otasau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minerul Lupeni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minerul Lupeni found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Pausesti-Otasau let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Minerul Lupeni went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minerul Lupeni VS Pausesti-Otasau
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Minerul Lupeni

(Home)
09 Oct
CSO Filiasi
0 : 1
Minerul Lupeni
03 Oct
Minerul Lupeni
2 : 0
Curtisoara
26 Sept
Farcasesti
2 : 1
Minerul Lupeni
22 Sept
Minerul Lupeni
1 : 0
CSM Targu Jiu
19 Sept
Jiul Petrosani
1 : 0
Minerul Lupeni
Page 1 of 7

Pausesti-Otasau

(Away)
03 Oct
Pausesti-Otasau
1 : 0
CS U Craiova 2
25 Sept
CSO Filiasi
1 : 1
Pausesti-Otasau
22 Sept
Pausesti-Otasau
0 : 1
Curtisoara
19 Sept
Farcasesti
2 : 2
Pausesti-Otasau
12 Sept
Pausesti-Otasau
1 : 1
CSM Targu Jiu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minerul Lupeni 8 6 0 2 10:3 18
2 CSM Targu Jiu 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
3 CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin 7 5 1 1 15:5 16
4 CS U Craiova 2 7 3 3 1 13:8 12
5 Jiul Petrosani 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
6 CSO Filiasi 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
7 Unirea Bascov 8 2 3 3 12:10 9
8 Pausesti-Otasau 7 1 5 1 7:7 8
9 Farcasesti 7 2 2 3 13:14 8
10 Academica Bals 7 2 0 5 10:12 6
11 Curtisoara 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
12 Petrolul Hartiesti 7 0 0 7 3:28 0
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 6 (Relegation Group)