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Minerva Punjab vs Chennaiyin FC

India India

ISL Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Choudhary F.
65'
Sub
Osuji B. In: Zeljkovic S.
Out: Osuji B.
65'
Sub
Rai V. In: Singh S. B.
Out: Rai V.

AI Match Summary

The ISL game between Minerva Punjab and Chennaiyin FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minerva Punjab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Minerva Punjab
6%
Draws
4%
Chennaiyin FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Minerva Punjab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Minerva Punjab carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Minerva Punjab are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Minerva Punjab Clean Sheet 20%
Chennaiyin FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerva Punjab Chennaiyin FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs Chennaiyin FC
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs Minerva Punjab
2:1
Oct 31, 2024 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs Chennaiyin FC
3:2
Jan 11, 2024 Super Cup
Chennaiyin FC vs Minerva Punjab
1:1
Dec 18, 2023 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs Chennaiyin FC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerva Punjab 85 / 100
Chennaiyin FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerva Punjab Chennaiyin FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chennaiyin FC conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Minerva Punjab's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Minerva Punjab went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minerva Punjab VS Chennaiyin FC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal1375130:1126
2Mohun Bagan1375123:926
3Mumbai City1374217:925
4Bengaluru FC1365218:1223
5Jamshedpur1364315:1022
6Minerva Punjab1364318:1222
7FC Goa1355315:1120
8Kerala Blasters1352615:1717
9North East United1344516:2116
10Inter Kashi1334611:1713
11Odisha FC1325614:2211
12SC Delhi1325613:1711
13Chennaiyin FC132389:219
14Mohammedan1303107:323