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Minerva vs Aguilas FC B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
0 - 2
09:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Martinez S.
75'
78' Event

AI Match Summary

Minerva host Aguilas FC B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Minerva at 0.84 goals for, 1.1 against; Aguilas FC B at 1.47 for, 1.2 against. Past meetings favor Minerva slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 2:4. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.31, favoring Minerva. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Minerva
35%
Draws
25%
Aguilas FC B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Minerva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Minerva have won more games recently than Aguilas FC B.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Minerva taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Minerva Clean Sheet 18%
Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerva Aguilas FC B
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.84 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Minerva
2:4
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Aguilas FC B
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Aguilas FC B
0:1
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC B vs Minerva
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minerva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aguilas FC B Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerva 41 / 100
Aguilas FC B 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerva Aguilas FC B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aguilas FC B conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Minerva went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Minerva scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Minerva VS Aguilas FC B
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Minerva

(Home)
04 Oct
Mazarron FC
0 : 1
Minerva
27 Sept
Minerva
1 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0
Minerva
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
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Aguilas FC B

(Away)
04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Molinense
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
13 Sept
Cotillas CD
2 : 2
Aguilas FC B
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 Molinense 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
4 Santa Cruz 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Alcantarilla 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
6 CA Pulpileno 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
7 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
9 Bala Azul 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 FC Cartagena SAD B 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
11 Cotillas CD 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
13 Bullas Deportivo 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
14 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
15 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)