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Mingachevir vs Sahdag Qusar

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2016/2017
Mingachevir Logo

Mingachevir

1 - 0
FT
Sahdag Qusar Logo

Sahdag Qusar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2016/2017 game between Mingachevir and Sahdag Qusar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mingachevir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Mingachevir
30%
Draws
51%
Sahdag Qusar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Mingachevir haven't matched Sahdag Qusar's recent run of results.
  • Sahdag Qusar are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular First Division 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 20%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mingachevir Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played 44 42
Wins 18 21
Draws 14 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.7 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.32 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Mingachevir
2:0
Dec 24, 2025 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Sahdag Qusar
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Mingachevir
0:0
Mar 22, 2017 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Sahdag Qusar
1:0
Oct 27, 2016 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Mingachevir
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mingachevir 12 / 100
Sahdag Qusar 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mingachevir Sahdag Qusar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mingachevir scored in 77% of their last 44 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Sahdag Qusar has conceded goals in 55% of their last 42 outings.

Solid form: Mingachevir remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mingachevir VS Sahdag Qusar
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.13
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mingachevir

(Home)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
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Sahdag Qusar

(Away)
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turan 26 18 7 1 62:11 61
2 Sabail 26 18 3 5 80:25 57
3 Agsu (Inactive) 26 16 5 5 63:21 53
4 Lokbatan 26 17 1 8 64:31 52
5 Zaqatala PFK 26 15 4 7 69:31 49
6 Shamkir 26 15 3 8 41:20 48
7 Imisli FK 26 13 5 8 53:33 44
8 MOIK Baku 26 10 6 10 47:31 36
9 Sahdag Qusar 26 8 6 12 36:45 30
10 Sharurspor 26 7 4 15 36:51 25
11 Mingachevir 26 5 5 16 25:86 20
12 Bakili Baku 26 3 2 21 30:99 11
13 Goyazan Qazax 26 2 4 20 20:99 10
14 Ravan 26 6 1 19 24:67 10
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)