Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mingachevir vs Zira FK 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Farmanov T.
67' Event
Mammadzada T.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Mingachevir and Zira FK 2 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Mingachevir
35%
Draws
28%
Zira FK 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mingachevir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mingachevir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 20%
Zira FK 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mingachevir Zira FK 2
Matches Played 47 34
Wins 17 7
Draws 13 10
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.53 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2023 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Zira FK 2
1:1
Oct 19, 2022 I Liqa
Zira FK 2 vs Mingachevir
0:3
Mar 23, 2015 I Liqa
Zira FK 2 vs Mingachevir
6:0
Oct 9, 2014 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Zira FK 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mingachevir Compare

Top Goalscorer Mammadzada T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Zira FK 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Farmanov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mingachevir 31 / 100
Zira FK 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mingachevir Zira FK 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mingachevir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zira FK 2 let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Attacking prowess: Mingachevir scored in 72% of their last 47 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mingachevir stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mingachevir VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mingachevir

(Home)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
Page 1 of 10

Zira FK 2

(Away)
23 May
Zira FK 2
2 : 2
Shamakhi 2
18 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Zira FK 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Zira FK 2
26 Apr
Zira FK 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)