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Minnesota United 2 vs Portland Timbers 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN
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Match Events

34'
Tarnue P.
43' Event
Hille L.
Assist: Putt T.
45' Event
Izoita E.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Minnesota United 2 and Portland Timbers 2 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portland Timbers 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Minnesota United 2
15%
Draws
32%
Portland Timbers 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minnesota United 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Minnesota United 2 haven't matched Portland Timbers 2's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Minnesota United 2 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Portland Timbers 2 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Portland Timbers 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minnesota United 2 Portland Timbers 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 20
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.62 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Portland Timbers 2
1:2
May 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs Minnesota United 2
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs Minnesota United 2
2:1
Jun 26, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Portland Timbers 2
2:3
Apr 21, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs Minnesota United 2
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minnesota United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hille L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Portland Timbers 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Izoita E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minnesota United 2 84 / 100
Portland Timbers 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minnesota United 2 Portland Timbers 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minnesota United 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Minnesota United 2 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Minnesota United 2 scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Portland Timbers 2 conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Minnesota United 2 VS Portland Timbers 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Minnesota United 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Minnesota United 2
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
17 Sept
Real Monarchs
0 : 1
Minnesota United 2
13 Sept
Minnesota United 2
5 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
06 Sept
Minnesota United 2
2 : 0
Colorado Rapids 2
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 6

Portland Timbers 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
07 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
0 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
30 Aug
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
Austin FC II
24 Aug
Ventura County
2 : 3
Portland Timbers 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)