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Minnesota United vs Atlanta United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN
Minnesota United Logo

Minnesota United

1 - 2
FT
Atlanta United Logo

Atlanta United

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Alonso J.
29'
Boxall M.
32'
Pereyra J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atlanta United in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atlanta United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Minnesota United
30%
Draws
70%
Atlanta United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atlanta United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Atlanta United have won more games recently than Minnesota United.
  • Win probability leans Atlanta United's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Minnesota United Clean Sheet 10%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minnesota United Atlanta United
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 MLS
Minnesota United vs Atlanta United
1:2
May 4, 2024 MLS
Atlanta United vs Minnesota United
1:2
Aug 9, 2020 MLS
Minnesota United vs Atlanta United
0:0
Aug 28, 2019 US Open Cup
Atlanta United vs Minnesota United
2:1
May 29, 2019 MLS
Atlanta United vs Minnesota United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minnesota United Compare

Top Goalscorer Markanich A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Atlanta United Compare

Top Goalscorer Jacob T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muyumba T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minnesota United 22 / 100
Atlanta United 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minnesota United Atlanta United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlanta United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Minnesota United scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Atlanta United let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Atlanta United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minnesota United VS Atlanta United
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Minnesota United

(Home)
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
20 Sept
Minnesota United
2 : 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
13 Sept
St. Louis City
4 : 2
Minnesota United
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4
Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6

Atlanta United

(Away)
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2
New York City
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3
Orlando City
05 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Atlanta United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)