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Minnesota United vs Liberia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minnesota United host Liberia in the Friendly International. Little to choose between these two on current form. Minnesota United have averaged 1.59 scored and 1.7 conceded recently, against Liberia's 0.96 scored and 1.56 conceded. Past meetings favor Minnesota United slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 0.67, favoring Minnesota United. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Minnesota United
15%
Draws
85%
Liberia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liberia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Minnesota United lately — more wins on the board than Liberia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Minnesota United Clean Sheet 20%
Liberia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minnesota United Liberia
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.59 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Friendly International
Minnesota United vs Liberia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minnesota United 32 / 100
Liberia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minnesota United Liberia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liberia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minnesota United scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Liberia let in goals in 92% of their last 25 matches.

Away concern: Liberia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Minnesota United VS Liberia
0.88 Goals Scored 0.33
1 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Minnesota United

(Home)
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
20 Sept
Minnesota United
2 : 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
13 Sept
St. Louis City
4 : 2
Minnesota United
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4
Minnesota United
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Liberia

(Away)
29 Sept
Liberia
0 : 1
Mali
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1
Liberia
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1
Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0
Liberia
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
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