Sport Picks

USA

MLS Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN

Minnesota United

0 - 1

Los Angeles FC

Our Tip

Match Events

Martinez D.

Assist: Tillman T.

46'

Sub

Long A. In: Porteous R.

Out: Long A.

52'

Tillman T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Minnesota United and Los Angeles FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Angeles FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Minnesota United

Draws

90%

Los Angeles FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Los Angeles FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Los Angeles FC carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Los Angeles FC's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Los Angeles FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Minnesota United Clean Sheet 17%

Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Minnesota United	Los Angeles FC
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	11	15
Draws	6	8
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	1	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.25	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 MLS

Minnesota United vs Los Angeles FC

0:1

Jul 17, 2025 MLS

Minnesota United vs Los Angeles FC

0:1

Feb 22, 2025 MLS

Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United

1:0

May 30, 2024 MLS

Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United

2:0

Mar 17, 2024 MLS

Minnesota United vs Los Angeles FC

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minnesota United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Los Angeles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minnesota United 10 / 100

Los Angeles FC 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Minnesota United Los Angeles FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAF Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Minnesota United scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Los Angeles FC let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Minnesota United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minnesota United VS Los Angeles FC

1 Goals Scored 1.5

1.25 Goals Conceded 2

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Minnesota United

(Home)

23 Jul

Sporting Kansas City

2 : 1

Minnesota United

23 May

Minnesota United

1 : 1

Real Salt Lake

16 May

New England Revolution

2 : 1

Minnesota United

14 May

Minnesota United

0 : 1

Colorado Rapids

10 May

Minnesota United

2 : 2

Austin FC

Page 1 of 6

Los Angeles FC

(Away)

23 Jul

Los Angeles FC

3 : 1

Real Salt Lake

18 Jul

Los Angeles Galaxy

0 : 3

Los Angeles FC

05 Jul

Los Angeles FC

3 : 0

El Salvador

25 May

Los Angeles FC

1 : 0

Seattle Sounders

18 May

Nashville SC

3 : 2

Los Angeles FC

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	15	10	2	3	37:16	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	16	10	2	4	34:19	32
3	Los Angeles FC	17	9	3	5	30:18	30
4	Real Salt Lake	15	8	2	5	27:22	26
5	FC Dallas	16	7	5	4	32:24	26
6	Seattle Sounders	15	7	3	5	19:19	24
7	Houston Dynamo	15	7	2	6	20:24	23
8	St. Louis City	16	6	4	6	22:23	22
9	Minnesota United	16	6	4	6	19:24	22
10	Los Angeles Galaxy	17	5	5	7	23:28	20
11	Colorado Rapids	16	6	1	9	26:24	19
12	Portland Timbers	16	5	3	8	29:31	18
13	San Diego FC	16	4	5	7	30:28	17
14	Austin FC	16	4	5	7	22:32	17
15	Sporting Kansas City	16	4	2	10	18:40	14

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	16	12	3	1	33:11	39
2	Inter Miami	16	10	4	2	42:30	34
3	Chicago Fire	15	8	2	5	29:19	26
4	New England Revolution	15	8	2	5	22:18	26
5	FC Cincinnati	16	6	5	5	40:40	23
6	New York City	16	6	4	6	27:22	22
7	Charlotte FC	16	6	4	6	26:25	22
8	New York Red Bulls	16	6	4	6	26:35	22
9	DC United	16	4	7	5	22:26	19
10	Orlando City	16	5	2	9	27:44	17
11	Columbus Crew	16	4	4	8	22:25	16
12	Toronto FC	16	3	7	6	22:29	16
13	CF Montreal	16	4	3	9	22:32	15
14	Atlanta United	16	3	3	10	16:26	12
15	Philadelphia Union	16	2	4	10	21:31	10

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