Sport Picks
Minnesota United vs San Diego FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN 
Match Events
3'
3'
Chancalay T.
Assist: Trapp W.
60'
60'
Sub
Sargeant K. In: Bombino L.
Out: Sargeant K.
60'
60'
Sub
Vazquez D. In: Mighten A.
Out: Vazquez D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Diego FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Minnesota United at 1.59 per game, San Diego FC at 1.5.
- 23% — that's where the model lands on Minnesota United taking it.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Minnesota United Clean Sheet 68%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Minnesota United | San Diego FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 2.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 MLS
Minnesota United vs San Diego FC
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 MLS
San Diego FC vs Minnesota United
1:2
Nov 25, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Minnesota United
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Minnesota United
1:3
Jun 15, 2025 MLS
Minnesota United vs San Diego FC
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Minnesota United Compare
Top Goalscorer Chancalay T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
San Diego FC Compare
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Minnesota United 59 / 100
San Diego FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Minnesota United San Diego FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Minnesota United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Minnesota United found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).
San Diego FC let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
San Diego FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Minnesota United VS San Diego FC
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Minnesota United
(Home) 11 Oct
Minnesota United
2 : 2 Houston Dynamo
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1 Minnesota United
20 Sept
Minnesota United
2 : 3 Los Angeles Galaxy
13 Sept
St. Louis City
4 : 2 Minnesota United
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2 FC Dallas
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Minnesota United
2 : 2 Houston Dynamo
20 Sept
Minnesota United
2 : 3 Los Angeles Galaxy
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2 FC Dallas
30 Aug
Minnesota United
3 : 3 Orlando City
20 Aug
Minnesota United
1 : 2 Atlanta United
Page 1 of 3
San Diego FC
(Away) 10 Oct
New York Red Bulls
4 : 1 San Diego FC
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3 San Diego FC
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 San Diego FC
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5 Philadelphia Union
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
New York Red Bulls
4 : 1 San Diego FC
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3 San Diego FC
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 San Diego FC
05 Sept
Orlando City
1 : 0 San Diego FC
20 Aug
Portland Timbers
3 : 1 San Diego FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61:30 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52:45 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:35 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39:39 | 37 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:46 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:51 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42:51 | 30 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35:68 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 63 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68:50 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:39 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56:45 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51:66 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38:52 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:46 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:48 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
