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Minyor Pernik vs Natsional Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Stadion Minyor, Pernik
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minyor Pernik in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minyor Pernik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Minyor Pernik
35%
Draws
13%
Natsional Sofia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Minyor Pernik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Minyor Pernik lately — more wins on the board than Natsional Sofia.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Minyor Pernik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 17%
Natsional Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minyor Pernik Natsional Sofia
Matches Played 27 5
Wins 5 0
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 0.85 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Third League - South-West
Minyor Pernik vs Natsional Sofia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minyor Pernik 84 / 100
Natsional Sofia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minyor Pernik Natsional Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minyor Pernik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Natsional Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 5 matches.

Recent resilience: Minyor Pernik stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Natsional Sofia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Minyor Pernik scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Minyor Pernik VS Natsional Sofia
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Minyor Pernik

(Home)
29 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
0 : 0
Minyor Pernik
22 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Bansko
15 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
08 Aug
Pirin Razlog
0 : 3
Minyor Pernik
01 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 0
Natsional Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Natsional Sofia

(Away)
29 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 3
Natsional Sofia
22 Aug
Natsional Sofia
0 : 3
Strumska Slava
15 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 1
Natsional Sofia
08 Aug
Natsional Sofia
2 : 2
Bansko
01 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 0
Natsional Sofia