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Miramar vs Auckland FC 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Hill H.
45' Event
Thompson L.
58' Event
Gaul C.

AI Match Summary

Miramar in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Miramar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Miramar
15%
Draws
48%
Auckland FC 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auckland FC 2 lately — more wins on the board than Miramar.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Miramar Clean Sheet 20%
Auckland FC 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Auckland FC 2
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 2.03 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 National League
Miramar vs Auckland FC 2
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 National League
Miramar vs Auckland FC 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miramar Compare

Top Goalscorer Thompson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gaul C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Auckland FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hill H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 32 / 100
Auckland FC 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Auckland FC 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miramar found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Auckland FC 2 let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Miramar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS Auckland FC 2
1.17 Goals Scored 1.5
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
03 Oct
Miramar
2 : 1
Auckland FC 2
26 Sept
Napier City
1 : 1
Miramar
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Island Bay
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
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Auckland FC 2

(Away)
03 Oct
Miramar
2 : 1
Auckland FC 2
27 Sept
Auckland FC 2
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
24 May
South Melbourne
1 : 2
Auckland FC 2
20 May
Auckland FC 2
1 : 0
South Island United
12 May
Auckland FC 2
5 : 2
South Island United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Cashmere Technical 2 2 0 0 14:0 6
3 Auckland United 2 1 1 0 8:2 4
4 Auckland City 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
5 Wellington Olympic 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
6 Ferrymead Bays 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 Birkenhead 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
8 Eastern Suburbs 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
9 Napier City 2 0 1 1 2:8 1
10 Wellington Phoenix 2 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
11 Auckland FC 2 2 0 0 2 3:5 0
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)