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Miramar vs Central United

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Central United in this Chatham Cup 2012 tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Miramar
15%
Draws
42%
Central United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Central United have won more games recently than Miramar.
  • Miramar are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Central United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Miramar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Miramar Clean Sheet 13%
Central United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Central United
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 2 0
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 2.09 2.6
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2012 Chatham Cup
Miramar vs Central United
0:6
Jun 8, 2003 Football Championship
Miramar vs Central United
5:2
May 18, 2003 Football Championship
Miramar vs Central United
2:1
Mar 15, 2003 Football Championship
Central United vs Miramar
3:2
Mar 31, 2002 Football Championship
Central United vs Miramar
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 66 / 100
Central United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Central United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miramar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miramar scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 5.80 goals when they meet.

Central United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Miramar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Island Bay
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
Page 1 of 7

Central United

(Away)
14 Jul
Central United
0 : 5
East Coast
10 Sept
Central United
3 : 4
Onehunga
26 Aug
Central United
5 : 0
Bay Olympic
06 Aug
Central United
2 : 0
Wairarapa United
16 Jul
Central United
4 : 0
North Shore
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Miramar 4
Stop Out SC 0
Dunedin 1
Western AFC 0
Three Kings 2
Central United 3
Melville 0
Eastern Suburbs 1
Caversham 4
Cashmere Technical 2
Manukau City 2
Papatoetoe 1
Birkenhead 4
Hamilton 1
Lower Hutt City 2
Napier City 0
Quarter-finals
Miramar 5
Dunedin 1
Central United 2
Eastern Suburbs 0
Caversham 3
Manukau City 1
Birkenhead 2
Lower Hutt City 3
Semi-finals
Miramar 0
Central United 6
Caversham 0
Lower Hutt City 4
Final
Central United 6
Lower Hutt City 1