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Miramar vs Nelson

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2000
Miramar Logo

Miramar

0 - 2
FT
Nelson Logo

Nelson

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nelson in this Football Championship 2000 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nelson.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Miramar
30%
Draws
28%
Nelson
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Miramar have won more games recently than Nelson.
  • Model gives Miramar a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Miramar Clean Sheet 13%
Nelson Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Nelson
Matches Played 32 18
Wins 13 6
Draws 2 6
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 2 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2000 Football Championship
Nelson vs Miramar
1:2
Apr 9, 2000 Football Championship
Miramar vs Nelson
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 84 / 100
Nelson 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Nelson

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miramar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miramar scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Nelson conceded in 94% of 18 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Miramar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Island Bay
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
Page 1 of 7

Nelson

(Away)
13 Aug
Nelson
3 : 3
Napier City
06 Aug
Dunedin
1 : 1
Nelson
23 Jul
Nelson
4 : 3
Metro
16 Jul
Waitakere City
2 : 2
Nelson
09 Jul
Nelson
0 : 2
Manawatu
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 University Wellington 18 11 4 3 35:22 37
2 Napier City 18 9 4 5 37:20 31
3 Dunedin 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
4 Manawatu 18 8 3 7 31:28 27
5 Waitakere City 18 7 3 8 37:34 24
6 Nelson 18 6 6 6 32:37 24
7 Central United 18 7 2 9 29:28 23
8 Miramar 18 6 5 7 28:33 23
9 Christchurch 18 4 6 8 23:35 18
10 Metro 18 5 2 11 23:44 17
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