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Miramar vs Wellington Olympic

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2019
Sat, Jul 6, 2019
1 - 3
02:00 AM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Wellington Olympic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Miramar
15%
Draws
48%
Wellington Olympic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wellington Olympic come out ahead of Miramar on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Wellington Olympic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wellington Olympic, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • Wellington Olympic have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Miramar Clean Sheet 16%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Wellington Olympic
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 20
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 2.1 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Miramar
2:1
Nov 27, 2022 National League
Miramar vs Wellington Olympic
1:4
Jul 6, 2019 Chatham Cup
Miramar vs Wellington Olympic
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 31 / 100
Wellington Olympic 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Wellington Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miramar found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Wellington Olympic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Miramar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS Wellington Olympic
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
26 Sept
Napier City
1 : 1
Miramar
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Island Bay
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

Wellington Olympic

(Away)
27 Sept
Auckland FC 2
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3
Wellington Olympic
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Christchurch
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Roslyn Wakari 2
Caversham 3
Bay Olympic 3
Manukau United 0
Waitakere City 1
Melville 3
Christchurch 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Napier City 4
Western Suburbs 1
Albany 1
Eastern Suburbs 0
Onehunga 2
North Shore 0
Miramar 1
Wellington Olympic 3
Quarter-finals
Caversham 1
Bay Olympic 2
Melville 4
Christchurch 0
Napier City 3
Albany 2
Onehunga 5
Wellington Olympic 4
Semi-finals
Bay Olympic 0
Melville 2
Napier City 2
Onehunga 1
Final
Melville 2
Napier City 3