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Miramar vs Wellington Olympic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Miramar host Wellington Olympic in the National League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Miramar have averaged 2.17 scored and 1.97 conceded recently, against Wellington Olympic's 2.67 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Miramar have won 0 to Wellington Olympic's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.75) point toward Wellington Olympic. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Miramar
15%
Draws
48%
Wellington Olympic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Wellington Olympic have won more games recently than Miramar.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Wellington Olympic have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Miramar Clean Sheet 12%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Wellington Olympic
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 16 21
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 2.17 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Miramar
2:1
Nov 27, 2022 National League
Miramar vs Wellington Olympic
1:4
Jul 6, 2019 Chatham Cup
Miramar vs Wellington Olympic
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 30 / 100
Wellington Olympic 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Wellington Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miramar scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

Wellington Olympic let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Miramar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS Wellington Olympic
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
03 Oct
Miramar
2 : 1
Auckland FC 2
26 Sept
Napier City
1 : 1
Miramar
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Island Bay
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
Page 1 of 8

Wellington Olympic

(Away)
03 Oct
Wellington Olympic
1 : 2
Ferrymead Bays
27 Sept
Auckland FC 2
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3
Wellington Olympic
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cashmere Technical 2 2 0 0 14:0 6
2 Auckland United 2 1 1 0 8:2 4
3 Miramar 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Ferrymead Bays 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Auckland City 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
6 Wellington Olympic 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
7 Eastern Suburbs 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
8 Napier City 2 0 1 1 2:8 1
9 Wellington Phoenix 2 2 0 1 1 1:11 1
10 Auckland FC 2 2 0 0 2 3:5 0
11 Birkenhead 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)