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Mirandes B vs Leonesa B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8
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Match Events

77' Event
Pastor V.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 game between Mirandes B and Leonesa B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leonesa B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Mirandes B
20%
Draws
73%
Leonesa B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leonesa B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Leonesa B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mirandes B Clean Sheet 14%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirandes B Leonesa B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs Leonesa B
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Mirandes B
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs Leonesa B
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs Leonesa B
1:1
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Mirandes B
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirandes B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Leonesa B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pastor V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirandes B 31 / 100
Leonesa B 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirandes B Leonesa B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonesa B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirandes B's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Leonesa B let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Mirandes B remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mirandes B VS Leonesa B
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirandes B

(Home)
03 Oct
Mirandes B
1 : 2
Burgos CF B
27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0
Mirandes B
20 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 1
Leonesa B
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2
Palencia CF
Page 1 of 6

Leonesa B

(Away)
04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0
Leonesa B
27 Sept
Leonesa B
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
20 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 1
Leonesa B
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1
Leonesa B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)