Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie A Betano Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol

1 - 0

Fluminense

Our Tip

Match Events

Alesson

33'

Acosta L.

35'

Denilson

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Mirassol and Fluminense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mirassol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Mirassol

17%

Draws

70%

Fluminense

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Mirassol haven't matched Fluminense's recent run of results.
Fluminense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Mirassol have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

Mirassol Clean Sheet 18%

Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mirassol	Fluminense
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	8	14
Draws	6	7
Losses	13	8
Goals Scored	1.13	1.63
Goals Conceded	1	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Serie A Betano

Mirassol vs Fluminense

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Nov 6, 2025 Serie A Betano

Fluminense vs Mirassol

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Oct 9, 2025 Serie A Betano

Mirassol vs Fluminense

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Denilson

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Fluminense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirassol 15 / 100

Fluminense 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mirassol Fluminense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirassol scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Fluminense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Mirassol stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mirassol VS Fluminense

1.13 Goals Scored 1.63

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	18	12	5	1	30:13	41
2	Flamengo RJ	17	10	4	3	31:16	34
3	Fluminense	18	9	4	5	28:23	31
4	Athletico-PR	18	9	3	6	24:18	30
5	Bragantino	18	9	2	7	25:19	29
6	Bahia	18	8	5	5	27:23	29
7	Coritiba	18	7	5	6	24:24	26
8	Sao Paulo	18	7	4	7	23:20	25
9	Botafogo RJ	18	7	4	7	33:32	25
10	Vitoria	18	7	4	7	22:25	25
11	Atletico-MG	18	7	3	8	22:23	24
12	Corinthians	18	6	6	6	18:19	24
13	Cruzeiro	18	6	6	6	24:28	24
14	Internacional	18	5	6	7	21:22	21
15	Gremio	18	5	6	7	20:23	21
16	Santos	19	5	6	8	27:31	21
17	Vasco	19	5	5	9	22:30	20
18	Remo	18	4	6	8	21:29	18
19	Mirassol	17	4	4	9	18:24	16
20	Chapecoense-SC	18	1	6	11	17:35	9