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Mirassol U20 vs Ferroviaria U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Victor
16' Event
Gomes A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mirassol U20
20%
Draws
57%
Ferroviaria U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferroviaria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviaria U20 have won more games recently than Mirassol U20.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviaria U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Mirassol U20 Clean Sheet 21%
Ferroviaria U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirassol U20 Ferroviaria U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Paulista U20
Mirassol U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Paulista U20
Ferroviaria U20 vs Mirassol U20
4:2
Sep 5, 2025 Paulista U20
Mirassol U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
2:2
May 9, 2025 Paulista U20
Ferroviaria U20 vs Mirassol U20
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirassol U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ferroviaria U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirassol U20 10 / 100
Ferroviaria U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirassol U20 Ferroviaria U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviaria U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Mirassol U20 found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Ferroviaria U20 let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Mirassol U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mirassol U20 VS Ferroviaria U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirassol U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 0
Mirassol U20
04 Sept
Mirassol U20
2 : 3
Ponte Preta U20
21 Aug
Portuguesa U20
0 : 0
Mirassol U20
15 Aug
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 0
Mirassol U20
07 Aug
Mirassol U20
2 : 1
Itapirense U20
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviaria U20

(Away)
26 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 1
Flamengo SP U20
18 Sept
Flamengo SP U20
2 : 0
Ferroviaria U20
12 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
5 : 0
Sao Bento U20
05 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Ferroviaria U20
21 Aug
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 0
Jabaquara U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)