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Mirassol vs Always Ready

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Eduardo
Assist: Alesson
35'
Sub
Hurtado Torres Y. D. In: Rodriguez C.
Out: Hurtado Torres Y. D.
35'
Saucedo F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mirassol
20%
Draws
42%
Always Ready
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Always Ready

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Mirassol haven't matched Always Ready's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Always Ready arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mirassol, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 10%
Always Ready Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirassol Always Ready
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Always Ready vs Mirassol
1:2
Apr 29, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Mirassol vs Always Ready
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alesson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Always Ready Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirassol 30 / 100
Always Ready 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirassol Always Ready

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Always Ready Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirassol found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Always Ready conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Mirassol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mirassol VS Always Ready
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirassol

(Home)
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
02 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0
Mirassol
30 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 1
Palmeiras
Page 1 of 7

Always Ready

(Away)
19 Sept
Always Ready
1 : 4
Academia del Balompie
16 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 4
Always Ready
13 Sept
Always Ready
6 : 0
Guabira
10 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 0
Always Ready
05 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 2
Always Ready
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
3 Ind. Medellin 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Universitario de Deportes 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 15:6 16
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Bolivar 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 6:13 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 2:12 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 6:9 6
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LDU Quito 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 3:7 9
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 7:9 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 9:1 13
3 Universidad Central 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)