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Mirassol vs LDU Quito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Eduardo
Assist: Edson Carioca
35'
Quinonez Y.
41'
Neto Moura

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mirassol
35%
Draws
27%
LDU Quito
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mirassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • LDU Quito carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mirassol a 38% chance of winning this.
  • LDU Quito arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mirassol, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 68%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirassol LDU Quito
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Copa Libertadores
LDU Quito vs Mirassol
1:0
Aug 13, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Mirassol vs LDU Quito
1:1
May 7, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Mirassol vs LDU Quito
2:0
Apr 15, 2026 Copa Libertadores
LDU Quito vs Mirassol
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirassol 86 / 100
LDU Quito 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirassol LDU Quito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mirassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirassol has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Mirassol scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

LDU Quito's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mirassol VS LDU Quito
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirassol

(Home)
07 Oct
Bragantino
1 : 1
Mirassol
27 Sept
Uberlandia
0 : 4
Mirassol
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
Page 1 of 6

LDU Quito

(Away)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Flamengo RJ -
Palmeiras -
Fluminense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -