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Miravci vs Vardar

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Vardar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Miravci
15%
Draws
85%
Vardar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vardar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vardar come out ahead of Miravci on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Vardar taking it.
  • Vardar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vardar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Miravci Clean Sheet 10%
Vardar Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miravci Vardar
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.67 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 2.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2015 Macedonian Cup
Miravci vs Vardar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miravci 26 / 100
Vardar 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miravci Vardar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vardar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Miravci scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Vardar conceded in 55% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vardar
0 Goals Scored 3.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Miravci

(Home)
17 Aug
Miravci
0 : 3
Vellazerimi
14 May
Gorno Lisice
1 : 0
Miravci
07 May
Miravci
0 : 1
KF Gostivar
30 Apr
Pelister
3 : 2
Miravci
23 Apr
Miravci
0 : 2
Pobeda
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Vardar

(Away)
16 Aug
Struga
1 : 0
Vardar
09 Aug
Vardar
0 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
28 Jul
Riga FC
5 : 2
Vardar
25 Jul
Vardar
2 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
22 Jul
Vardar
2 : 3
Riga FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Bregalnica Stip 2
Plackovica 0
Ljuboten Tetovo 1
Shkupi 5
Vellazerimi 3
Drita 0
Pobeda 1
Mladost Carev Dvor 2
Sileks 4
Prevalec 0
Gorno Lisice 1
Renova 2
KF Gostivar 1
Poeshevo 0
Fortuna Skopje 0
Rabotnicki 11
Turnovo 11
KF Liria Zagracani 0
Belasica Strumica 0
FK Skopje 2
Ljubanci 2
Teteks 1
Vulkan Kosel 0
Makedonija GP 3
Vardar 1
Miravci 0
Oktomvri 0
Pelister 8
Met. Skopje 9
Males 1
Zajazi 0
Shkendija Tetovo 4
1/8-finals
Bregalnica Stip 2
Shkupi 1
Vellazerimi 5
Mladost Carev Dvor 7
Sileks 5
Renova 2
KF Gostivar 0
Rabotnicki 8
Turnovo 5
FK Skopje 3
Ljubanci 2
Makedonija GP 3
Vardar 6
Pelister 1
Met. Skopje 0
Shkendija Tetovo 7
Quarter-finals
Bregalnica Stip 5
Mladost Carev Dvor 2
Sileks 1
Rabotnicki 5
Turnovo 4
Makedonija GP 3
Vardar 1
Shkendija Tetovo 5
Semi-finals
Bregalnica Stip 1
Rabotnicki 4
Turnovo 1
Shkendija Tetovo 4
Final
Rabotnicki 0
Shkendija Tetovo 2