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Miravci vs Vellazerimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup 2016/2017
Wed, Aug 17, 2016
0 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Macedonian Cup 2016/2017. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vellazerimi have shipped 1.35 goals a game lately, while Miravci have conceded 1.33 and scored 0.67. Past meetings favor Vellazerimi slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2016, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 0.61, favoring Vellazerimi. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Miravci
15%
Draws
85%
Vellazerimi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vellazerimi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vellazerimi come out ahead of Miravci on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Vellazerimi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vellazerimi, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Miravci Clean Sheet 20%
Vellazerimi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miravci Vellazerimi
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.67 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2016 Macedonian Cup
Miravci vs Vellazerimi
0:3
Apr 9, 2016 2. MFL
Vellazerimi vs Miravci
1:0
Nov 7, 2015 2. MFL
Vellazerimi vs Miravci
2:2
Aug 22, 2015 2. MFL
Miravci vs Vellazerimi
0:2
Apr 5, 2015 2. MFL
Miravci vs Vellazerimi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miravci 32 / 100
Vellazerimi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miravci Vellazerimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vellazerimi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vellazerimi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Vellazerimi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Miravci scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vellazerimi
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Miravci

(Home)
17 Aug
Miravci
0 : 3
Vellazerimi
14 May
Gorno Lisice
1 : 0
Miravci
07 May
Miravci
0 : 1
KF Gostivar
30 Apr
Pelister
3 : 2
Miravci
23 Apr
Miravci
0 : 2
Pobeda
Page 1 of 6

Vellazerimi

(Away)
23 Feb
Golemo Konjari
0 : 3
Vellazerimi
15 Feb
Vellazerimi
2 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
20 Sept
Vellazerimi
0 : 4
Pelister
08 Sept
Besa 1976
4 : 0
Vellazerimi
25 Mar
Vellazerimi
2 : 3
Besa 1976
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Vardar 9
Skenderbeu Poroj 0
Miravci 0
Vellazerimi 3
Mladost Carev Dvor -
TBD -
Sateska Volino 0
Met. Skopje 3
Shkupi 2
Vardar Negotino 0
Makedonija GP 0
Brera Strumica 5
Rabotnicki 6
FK Caklani 1
Golemo Konjari 0
Shkendija Tetovo 11
Bregalnica Stip -
TBD -
Vlaznimi 0
Teteks 1
Novaci 2
FK Skopje 1
Fortuna Skopje 0
Pobeda 3
Sileks 1
Males 0
Ljuboten Tetovo 0
Turnovo 6
Renova 3
Gorno Lisice 1
Belasica Strumica 2
Pelister 3
1/8-finals
Vardar 5
Vellazerimi 1
Mladost Carev Dvor -
Met. Skopje -
Shkupi 4
Brera Strumica 1
Rabotnicki 0
Shkendija Tetovo 2
Bregalnica Stip 6
Teteks 1
Novaci 1
Pobeda 7
Sileks 5
Turnovo 4
Renova 3
Pelister 3
Quarter-finals
Vardar 8
Met. Skopje 2
Shkupi 0
Shkendija Tetovo 4
Bregalnica Stip 5
Pobeda 2
Sileks 1
Pelister 3
Semi-finals
Vardar 2
Shkendija Tetovo 3
Bregalnica Stip 2
Pelister 3
Final
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Pelister 1