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Mistelbach vs Wurmla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Niederosterreich 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Niederosterreich 2011/2012 game between Mistelbach and Wurmla finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wurmla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mistelbach
15%
Draws
0%
Wurmla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mistelbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mistelbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Mistelbach taking it.
  • Regular Niederosterreich 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Wurmla have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Mistelbach Clean Sheet 19%
Wurmla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mistelbach Wurmla
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2014 Niederosterreich
Mistelbach vs Wurmla
1:4
Sep 29, 2013 Niederosterreich
Wurmla vs Mistelbach
1:0
Mar 10, 2012 Niederosterreich
Mistelbach vs Wurmla
1:4
Aug 12, 2011 Niederosterreich
Wurmla vs Mistelbach
4:0
May 1, 2011 Niederosterreich
Wurmla vs Mistelbach
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mistelbach 85 / 100
Wurmla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mistelbach Wurmla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mistelbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Wurmla conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Wurmla's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mistelbach's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mistelbach VS Wurmla
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.83 Goals Conceded 2.13
67% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mistelbach

(Home)
21 Jul
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
0 : 1
Mistelbach
22 Feb
Mistelbach
4 : 1
SC Ladendorf
14 Feb
Simmeringer
2 : 0
Mistelbach
18 Jul
Mistelbach
1 : 1
Gersthofer
14 Feb
Post Wien
1 : 2
Mistelbach
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Wurmla

(Away)
31 Jul
Wurmla
0 : 4
AS Koma Elektra
28 Jul
Wurmla
2 : 3
Ostbahn
06 Aug
Wurmla
0 : 3
SV Donau
06 Jul
Wurmla
0 : 3
St. Polten
14 Jul
Wurmla
1 : 10
St. Polten (Am)
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