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Misto vs Aquidauanense

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Misto in this Sul-Matogrossense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Misto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Misto
20%
Draws
52%
Aquidauanense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aquidauanense lately — more wins on the board than Misto.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Misto Clean Sheet 20%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Misto Aquidauanense
Matches Played 10 33
Wins 4 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 1 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Misto vs Aquidauanense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Misto 36 / 100
Aquidauanense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Misto Aquidauanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquidauanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Misto scored in 60% of their last 10 games.

Aquidauanense let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Misto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Misto VS Aquidauanense
1.29 Goals Scored 0.88
0.71 Goals Conceded 3.38
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Misto

(Home)
02 Aug
Misto
3 : 1
EC Campo Grande
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
04 Jul
7 de Setembro
3 : 1
Misto
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Aquidauanense

(Away)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquidauanense 7 6 0 1 11:4 18
2 Misto 7 4 2 1 9:5 14
3 Comercial MS 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 7 de Setembro 7 3 2 2 12:6 11
5 Uniao ABC 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
6 Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 7 2 1 4 6:10 7
7 Sao Gabriel MS 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
8 EC Campo Grande 7 0 1 6 4:17 1
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