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Mitchelton vs Holland Park Hawks

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League 2021 game between Mitchelton and Holland Park Hawks finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mitchelton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mitchelton
39%
Draws
30%
Holland Park Hawks
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Holland Park Hawks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Mitchelton Clean Sheet 18%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitchelton Holland Park Hawks
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 4 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Holland Park Hawks
3:2
Mar 27, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Mitchelton
2:1
Oct 10, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Mitchelton
1:4
Aug 8, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Holland Park Hawks
1:1
Aug 3, 2019 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Mitchelton
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitchelton 32 / 100
Holland Park Hawks 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitchelton Holland Park Hawks

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Mitchelton scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Holland Park Hawks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Mitchelton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Holland Park Hawks
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane City20200064:1260
2Rochedale20141557:2643
3SWQ Thunder20132547:3241
4Western Pride20102836:3332
5Ipswich Knights2093841:3530
6Mitchelton20911041:4328
7Southside Eagles2066830:3324
8Sunshine Coast2065933:4023
9Souths20501528:5415
10Holland Park Hawks20331429:5412
11Wynnum Wolves20311618:6210