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Mitchelton vs Souths - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2019
Mitchelton Logo

Mitchelton

5 - 1
FT
Souths Logo

Souths

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League 2019 game between Mitchelton and Souths finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mitchelton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mitchelton
15%
Draws
0%
Souths
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mitchelton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Souths carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mitchelton a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Mitchelton Clean Sheet 10%
Souths Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitchelton Souths
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 2
Losses 25 21
Goals Scored 1.37 1.43
Goals Conceded 3.29 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Souths vs Mitchelton
1:2
Jun 4, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Souths
3:1
Oct 3, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Souths vs Mitchelton
4:4
Aug 2, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Souths
3:3
May 18, 2019 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Souths
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitchelton 34 / 100
Souths 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitchelton Souths

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Souths conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Souths lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Mitchelton scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Scoring Trends

Mitchelton VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
4 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mitchelton

(Home)
18 Aug
Mitchelton
5 : 3
Logan Lightning
10 Aug
Southside Eagles
4 : 1
Mitchelton
02 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior U21
0 : 3
Mitchelton
21 Jul
Mitchelton
0 : 0
Ipswich
13 Jul
Brisbane Strikers
1 : 0
Mitchelton
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Souths

(Away)
25 Sept
Souths
1 : 2
Southside Eagles
19 Sept
Sunshine Coast
2 : 1
Souths
11 Sept
Souths
3 : 4
Western Pride
07 Sept
Ipswich Knights
3 : 1
Souths
04 Sept
Souths
1 : 2
Mitchelton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 18 13 2 3 52:23 41
2 Capalaba FC 18 12 2 4 48:26 38
3 Logan Lightning 18 12 1 5 52:26 37
4 Rochedale 18 9 3 6 49:37 30
5 Mitchelton 18 9 3 6 44:32 30
6 Ipswich Knights 18 8 4 6 35:31 28
7 Wynnum Wolves 18 5 4 9 32:44 19
8 Souths 18 4 1 13 29:59 13
9 Southside Eagles 18 3 3 12 22:46 12
10 Holland Park Hawks 18 3 1 14 31:70 10
Promotion - Queensland Premier League 2019 (Play Offs)