Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mitrovica vs Besa Peja

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga e Pare 2024/2025 game between Mitrovica and Besa Peja finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mitrovica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mitrovica
35%
Draws
41%
Besa Peja
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Besa Peja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Besa Peja come out ahead of Mitrovica on wins alone.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mitrovica Clean Sheet 20%
Besa Peja Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitrovica Besa Peja
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Besa Peja
0:1
Mar 31, 2025 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Besa Peja
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Besa Peja
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Liga e Pare
Besa Peja vs Mitrovica
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitrovica 36 / 100
Besa Peja 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitrovica Besa Peja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Peja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mitrovica scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Besa Peja conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Mitrovica has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mitrovica VS Besa Peja
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mitrovica

(Home)
26 Sept
Prishtina e Re
4 : 1
Mitrovica
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
11 Sept
Suhareka
1 : 1
Mitrovica
06 Sept
Mitrovica
2 : 2
Tefik Canga
30 Aug
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Mitrovica
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Besa Peja

(Away)
03 Oct
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Besa Peja
27 Sept
Besa Peja
1 : 1
Dinamo Ferizaj
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
11 Sept
Besa Peja
2 : 3
Ramiz Sadiku
05 Sept
2 Korriku
0 : 0
Besa Peja
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drenica 27 17 7 3 48:25 58
2 Liria 27 15 6 6 33:21 51
3 Trepca 89 27 14 5 8 46:31 47
4 Vellaznimi 27 11 10 6 35:25 43
5 Trepca Mitrovice 27 11 9 7 35:26 42
6 Besa Peja 27 8 8 11 26:32 32
7 Istogu 27 7 10 10 44:49 31
8 Rilindja 27 8 4 15 32:47 28
9 Rahoveci 27 4 8 15 27:45 20
10 Mitrovica 27 4 5 18 25:50 17
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prishtina e Re 27 22 3 2 62:15 69
2 Vushtrria 27 21 4 2 55:15 67
3 Ramiz Sadiku 27 15 3 9 47:31 48
4 Dinamo Ferizaj 27 10 7 10 40:38 37
5 Kek-U 27 9 10 8 29:29 37
6 2 Korriku 27 8 6 13 26:39 30
7 Kika 27 8 5 14 24:39 29
8 Vjosa 27 9 1 17 34:50 28
9 Fushe Kosova 27 6 4 17 22:48 22
10 Flamurtari 27 2 7 18 17:52 13
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)