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Mitrovica vs Liria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mitrovica host Liria in the Liga e Pare. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Liria have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Mitrovica have conceded 1.82 and scored 0.96. Head-to-head, Mitrovica have won 0 to Liria's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 21, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.50 vs 1.13, favoring Liria. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Mitrovica
30%
Draws
61%
Liria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Liria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Liria have won more games recently than Mitrovica.
  • Win probability leans Liria's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga e Pare form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Liria have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mitrovica Clean Sheet 20%
Liria Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitrovica Liria
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 3 19
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.96 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.82 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Liria
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Liga e Pare
Liria vs Mitrovica
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Liria
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Liga e Pare
Liria vs Mitrovica
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitrovica 16 / 100
Liria 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitrovica Liria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mitrovica scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Liria has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Mitrovica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mitrovica VS Liria
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mitrovica

(Home)
17 Oct
Mitrovica
0 : 0
Trepca 89
11 Oct
Ferizaj
1 : 0
Mitrovica
26 Sept
Prishtina e Re
4 : 1
Mitrovica
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
11 Sept
Suhareka
1 : 1
Mitrovica
Page 1 of 6

Liria

(Away)
18 Oct
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 1
Liria
11 Oct
Liria
0 : 0
Dinamo Ferizaj
26 Sept
Liria
1 : 0
Ramiz Sadiku
19 Sept
2 Korriku
0 : 1
Liria
11 Sept
Liria
3 : 1
Vellaznimi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prishtina e Re 10 7 0 3 17:10 21
2 Liria 9 6 2 1 10:4 20
3 Dinamo Ferizaj 10 5 4 1 17:8 19
4 Rilindja 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
5 Trepca 89 10 4 5 1 11:6 17
6 Suhareka 10 4 4 2 18:10 16
7 Ferizaj 10 4 4 2 14:6 16
8 2 Korriku 10 4 3 3 7:5 15
9 Istogu 10 4 1 5 10:15 13
10 Besa Peja 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
11 Vjosa 10 2 5 3 10:9 11
12 Vellaznimi 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
13 Trepca Mitrovice 10 3 2 5 7:15 11
14 Ramiz Sadiku 10 1 6 3 11:15 9
15 KF Lepenci 10 1 6 3 8:12 9
16 Kika 10 1 6 3 8:13 9
17 Mitrovica 9 0 5 4 5:12 5
18 Tefik Canga 10 0 3 7 7:17 3
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)