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Mitundu Baptist vs Ekhaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malawi Malawi

Super League
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Mitundu Baptist
35%
Draws
16%
Ekhaya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mitundu Baptist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ekhaya have won more games recently than Mitundu Baptist.
  • Win probability leans Mitundu Baptist's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Mitundu Baptist Clean Sheet 68%
Ekhaya Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitundu Baptist Ekhaya
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Super League
Mitundu Baptist vs Ekhaya
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitundu Baptist 77 / 100
Ekhaya 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitundu Baptist Ekhaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mitundu Baptist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekhaya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Mitundu Baptist went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Ekhaya has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mitundu Baptist scored in 47% of their last 15 games.

Scoring Trends

Mitundu Baptist VS Ekhaya
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mitundu Baptist

(Home)
09 Sept
Dedza Dynamos
0 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
23 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
0 : 0
Big Bullets
15 Aug
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1
Karonga United
26 Jul
Mitundu Baptist
1 : 1
Silver Strikers
Page 1 of 3

Ekhaya

(Away)
06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0
Karonga United
22 Aug
Creck Sporting
3 : 2
Ekhaya
15 Aug
Silver Strikers
3 : 0
Ekhaya
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Ekhaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blue Eagles 15 10 1 4 24:16 31
2 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
3 Mighty Wanderers FC 15 8 5 2 27:11 29
4 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Mitundu Baptist 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
10 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Dedza Dynamos 15 3 6 6 9:19 15
13 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)