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Mixto vs Academia

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2025 Estadio Eurico Gaspar Dutra (Dutrinha), Cuiabá
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Wallisson
39' Event
Emerson Machado
48'
Wallisson

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2025 game between Mixto and Academia finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mixto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Mixto
30%
Draws
0%
Academia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mixto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Mixto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Mixto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Mixto here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Mixto Clean Sheet 68%
Academia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mixto Academia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 13 3
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.18 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Matogrossense
Mixto vs Academia
3:1
Sep 7, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Mixto vs Academia
2:0
Jan 31, 2024 Matogrossense
Mixto vs Academia
2:1
Feb 12, 2023 Matogrossense
Academia vs Mixto
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mixto Compare

Top Goalscorer Emerson Machado
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lorran
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Academia Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallisson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mixto 95 / 100
Academia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mixto Academia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mixto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Academia conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Academia registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mixto scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mixto VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mixto

(Home)
27 Jun
Gama
1 : 0
Mixto
20 Jun
Mixto
1 : 2
Gama
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
Page 1 of 7

Academia

(Away)
22 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Luverdense
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Academia
08 Feb
Mixto
3 : 1
Academia
02 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Cuiaba
29 Jan
Academia
0 : 1
Primavera AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mixto 8 5 3 0 17:5 18
2 Cuiaba 8 4 4 0 18:5 16
3 Operario VG 8 4 4 0 11:4 16
4 Primavera AC 8 3 4 1 12:6 13
5 Nova Mutum EC 8 3 1 4 7:18 10
6 Uniao Rondonopolis 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
7 Luverdense 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
8 Sport Sinop 8 1 2 5 4:14 5
9 Academia 8 0 1 7 2:11 1
10 Caceres 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 (Main)