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Mixto vs Comercial PI

Brazil Brazil

Série D 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Série D 2012 game between Mixto and Comercial PI finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mixto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mixto
35%
Draws
41%
Comercial PI
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Comercial PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Comercial PI have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Mixto are scoring more at 1.07.
  • 24% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mixto Clean Sheet 20%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mixto Comercial PI
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 13 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.07 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2012 Serie D
Mixto vs Comercial PI
4:0
Jul 9, 2012 Serie D
Comercial PI vs Mixto
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mixto 31 / 100
Comercial PI 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mixto Comercial PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mixto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mixto's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Comercial PI let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mixto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mixto VS Comercial PI
0.63 Goals Scored 0.8
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.8
38% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mixto

(Home)
27 Jun
Gama
1 : 0
Mixto
20 Jun
Mixto
1 : 2
Gama
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
Page 1 of 6

Comercial PI

(Away)
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
06 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
Flamengo PI
26 Oct
Corisabba
2 : 1
Comercial PI
23 Oct
Comercial PI
0 : 0
Corisabba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 1 2 20:16 16
2 Vilhena 8 5 0 3 17:10 15
3 Acreano 8 4 1 3 19:15 13
4 Penarol 8 3 0 5 16:16 9
5 Nautico FC 8 2 0 6 9:24 6
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sampaio Correa 8 8 0 0 25:2 24
2 Mixto 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
3 Comercial PI 8 2 2 4 6:13 8
4 Santos AP 8 1 4 3 9:16 7
5 Araguaina 8 0 3 5 4:17 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baraunas 8 4 3 1 12:7 15
2 Campinense 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
3 Horizonte 8 3 4 1 9:5 13
4 Ypiranga 8 2 2 4 13:15 8
5 Petrolina 8 0 3 5 9:19 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 8 6 2 0 15:3 20
2 Sousa 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
3 Feirense 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
4 Itabaiana 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
5 Vitoria da Conquista 8 1 1 6 7:13 4
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CRAC 8 4 3 1 15:9 15
2 Ceilandia 8 4 2 2 14:14 14
3 CENE 8 4 1 3 17:11 13
4 Aparecidense 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
5 Sobradinho 8 0 3 5 8:16 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 8 4 4 0 13:4 16
2 Nacional MG 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
3 Aracruz 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
4 Volta Redonda 8 2 2 4 5:6 8
5 Guarani-MG 8 1 3 4 3:11 6
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cianorte 8 5 3 0 14:4 18
2 Mogi Mirim 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
3 Ceramica AC 8 3 2 3 10:7 11
4 Marilia 8 1 4 3 7:15 7
5 Concordia 8 1 1 6 7:15 4
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Metropolitano 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
2 SE Juventude 8 3 3 2 7:4 12
3 Arapongas 8 2 4 2 6:6 10
4 Brasil de Pelotas 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
5 Mirassol 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)