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Mixto vs Várzea Grande EC

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Matogrossense
Mixto Logo

Mixto

0 - 0
FT
Várzea Grande EC Logo

Várzea Grande EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Mixto
30%
Draws
52%
Várzea Grande EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Várzea Grande EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mixto lately — more wins on the board than Várzea Grande EC.
  • Model gives Mixto a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mixto Clean Sheet 18%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mixto Várzea Grande EC
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 15 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.08 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Matogrossense
Mixto vs Várzea Grande EC
0:0
Feb 23, 2019 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Mixto
0:3
Mar 20, 2016 Matogrossense
Mixto vs Várzea Grande EC
2:2
Jan 31, 2016 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Mixto
1:1
Mar 15, 2015 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Mixto
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mixto 36 / 100
Várzea Grande EC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mixto Várzea Grande EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Várzea Grande EC has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Mixto scored in 64% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mixto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mixto VS Várzea Grande EC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mixto

(Home)
27 Jun
Gama
1 : 0
Mixto
20 Jun
Mixto
1 : 2
Gama
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
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Várzea Grande EC

(Away)
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
08 Feb
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Várzea Grande EC
05 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Nova Mutum EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 9 5 2 2 7:3 17
2 Mixto 9 4 3 2 13:4 15
3 Operario VG 9 4 2 3 9:9 14
4 Sport Sinop 9 3 4 2 6:4 13
5 Cuiaba 9 3 3 3 8:8 12
6 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 3 3 13:15 12
7 Chapada 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
8 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 2 4 3 7:7 10
9 Primavera AC 9 1 7 1 6:9 10
10 Várzea Grande EC 9 1 2 6 5:14 5
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)