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Miyazaki W vs Shizuoka Bonita W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

Nadeshiko League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ozawa H.
51' Event
Sayuna N.
87' Event
Hikosaka M.

AI Match Summary

The Nadeshiko League Women game between Miyazaki W and Shizuoka Bonita W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shizuoka Bonita W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Miyazaki W
20%
Draws
46%
Shizuoka Bonita W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shizuoka Bonita W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shizuoka Bonita W come out ahead of Miyazaki W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shizuoka Bonita W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Miyazaki W Clean Sheet 10%
Shizuoka Bonita W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miyazaki W Shizuoka Bonita W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.66 2.6
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Nadeshiko League Women
Miyazaki W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
1:2
May 3, 2026 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs Miyazaki W
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Nadeshiko League Women
Miyazaki W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 Nadeshiko League Women
Shizuoka Bonita W vs Miyazaki W
3:1
Jun 30, 2024 Nadeshiko League Women
Miyazaki W vs Shizuoka Bonita W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miyazaki W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozawa H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Shizuoka Bonita W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sayuna N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hikosaka M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miyazaki W 10 / 100
Shizuoka Bonita W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miyazaki W Shizuoka Bonita W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shizuoka Bonita W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Miyazaki W scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Shizuoka Bonita W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Miyazaki W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Miyazaki W VS Shizuoka Bonita W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Miyazaki W

(Home)
04 Oct
Ehime W
0 : 3
Miyazaki W
27 Sept
Miyazaki W
1 : 2
Shizuoka Bonita W
20 Sept
Miyazaki W
1 : 5
Okayama Yunogo W
12 Sept
Nittaidai W
1 : 2
Miyazaki W
05 Sept
Miyazaki W
1 : 3
AS Harima Albio W
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Shizuoka Bonita W

(Away)
04 Oct
Okayama Yunogo W
1 : 1
Shizuoka Bonita W
27 Sept
Miyazaki W
1 : 2
Shizuoka Bonita W
19 Sept
Shizuoka Bonita W
0 : 1
Yokohama FC Seagulls W
13 Sept
Orca Kamogawa W
1 : 1
Shizuoka Bonita W
05 Sept
Shizuoka Bonita W
3 : 1
Ehime W
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