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Mjallby vs Elfsborg

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strandvallen, Hällevik
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mjallby host Elfsborg in the Allsvenskan. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Elfsborg have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Mjallby have conceded 2 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Mjallby have won 2 to Elfsborg's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on May 21, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.50, favoring Mjallby. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mjallby
30%
Draws
31%
Elfsborg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mjallby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mjallby come out ahead of Elfsborg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mjallby's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 16%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjallby Elfsborg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Mjallby
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Elfsborg
2:0
Jun 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Mjallby
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Mjallby
2:2
Aug 18, 2024 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Elfsborg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjallby 66 / 100
Elfsborg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjallby Elfsborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MJA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mjallby scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Elfsborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mjallby stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mjallby VS Elfsborg
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjallby

(Home)
28 Jul
Lincoln Red Imps
0 : 0
Mjallby
25 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 1
Mjallby
21 Jul
Mjallby
3 : 0
Lincoln Red Imps
17 Jul
Mjallby
0 : 0
Vasteras SK
11 Jul
Mjallby
1 : 2
AIK
Page 1 of 6

Elfsborg

(Away)
26 Jul
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Elfsborg
19 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 3
Sirius
12 Jul
GAIS
1 : 0
Elfsborg
05 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 2
Hammarby
28 Jun
Fredrikstad
0 : 0
Elfsborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 14 12 2 0 40:17 38
2 Hammarby 15 8 3 4 33:15 27
3 Hacken 14 6 6 2 27:22 24
4 Djurgarden 13 7 2 4 27:15 23
5 Vasteras SK 14 6 4 4 24:23 22
6 AIK 14 6 4 4 18:18 22
7 Elfsborg 15 5 6 4 20:18 21
8 Malmo FF 14 6 2 6 28:24 20
9 GAIS 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Mjallby 14 4 5 5 20:19 17
11 Kalmar 14 5 2 7 18:20 17
12 Brommapojkarna 14 4 5 5 19:22 17
13 IFK Goteborg 14 3 4 7 17:33 13
14 Degerfors 14 2 4 8 12:24 10
15 Orgryte 14 2 4 8 14:33 10
16 Halmstad 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)