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Mjallby vs Elfsborg Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strandvallen, Hällevik
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Olsson S.
Assist: Kamara M.
47'
Hoffmann I.
56'
Sub
Hoffmann I. In: Granath V.
Out: Hoffmann I.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Mjallby and Elfsborg finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elfsborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Mjallby
20%
Draws
65%
Elfsborg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elfsborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elfsborg come out ahead of Mjallby on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Elfsborg's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjallby Elfsborg
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.85 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Elfsborg
0:1
May 21, 2026 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Mjallby
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Elfsborg
2:0
Jun 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Mjallby
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Mjallby
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjallby Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Elfsborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Olsson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjallby 14 / 100
Elfsborg 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjallby Elfsborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elfsborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mjallby scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Elfsborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mjallby stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mjallby VS Elfsborg
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjallby

(Home)
20 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 3
GAIS
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 6

Elfsborg

(Away)
02 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 1
Hacken
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
06 Sept
Brommapojkarna
2 : 1
Elfsborg
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)