Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mjallby vs Hammarby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strandvallen, Hällevik
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mjallby host Hammarby in the Allsvenskan. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Mjallby have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.77 conceded recently, against Hammarby's 1.97 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Mjallby slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 1.88) point toward Hammarby. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Mjallby
35%
Draws
50%
Hammarby
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Hammarby have won more games recently than Mjallby.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Hammarby taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjallby Hammarby
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 11 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Mjallby vs Hammarby
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Mjallby
3:0
May 22, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Mjallby
1:2
Apr 18, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Hammarby
3:1
Jul 28, 2024 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Mjallby
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjallby 18 / 100
Hammarby 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjallby Hammarby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Mjallby's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hammarby has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Mjallby remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mjallby VS Hammarby
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjallby

(Home)
10 Oct
Mjallby
1 : 1
Degerfors
06 Oct
Trollhattan
1 : 0
Mjallby
20 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 3
GAIS
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
Page 1 of 6

Hammarby

(Away)
11 Oct
Hammarby
0 : 1
Djurgarden
03 Oct
Hammarby
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
13 Sept
Hammarby
3 : 1
Brommapojkarna
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 23 17 3 3 53:28 54
2 Djurgarden 23 14 2 7 48:21 44
3 Hammarby 23 13 4 6 49:21 43
4 Elfsborg 23 11 7 5 35:22 40
5 Hacken 23 10 9 4 42:30 39
6 Malmo FF 23 11 3 9 38:33 36
7 Vasteras SK 23 10 5 8 34:36 35
8 IFK Goteborg 23 10 5 8 32:41 35
9 AIK 23 9 6 8 36:40 33
10 GAIS 23 8 6 9 28:21 30
11 Brommapojkarna 23 8 6 9 36:41 30
12 Mjallby 23 5 8 10 28:39 23
13 Degerfors 23 5 5 13 20:35 20
14 Kalmar 23 5 4 14 21:37 19
15 Orgryte 23 3 6 14 25:52 15
16 Halmstad 23 3 5 15 16:44 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)