Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mjolner vs Floya

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Nicolaisen M.
15' Event
Bendiksen L. L.
90' Event
Morkved F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Floya in this NM Cup 2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mjolner
15%
Draws
85%
Floya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Floya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Floya have won more games recently than Mjolner.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Floya taking it.
  • Floya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Floya, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Mjolner Clean Sheet 10%
Floya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjolner Floya
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 5 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.32 2.53
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 Division 3 - Group 6
Floya vs Mjolner
4:2
Apr 10, 2024 NM Cup
Mjolner vs Floya
1:2
Apr 6, 2024 Division 3 - Group 6
Mjolner vs Floya
2:1
Aug 5, 2023 Division 3 - Group 6
Mjolner vs Floya
0:0
Jun 17, 2023 Division 3 - Group 6
Floya vs Mjolner
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjolner Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolaisen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Floya Compare

Top Goalscorer Bendiksen L. L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjolner 10 / 100
Floya 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjolner Floya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floya has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Mjolner found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Floya lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Floya
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjolner

(Home)
27 Oct
Floya
4 : 2
Mjolner
20 Oct
Mjolner
1 : 3
Skjervoy
06 Oct
Mjolner
2 : 6
Ulfstind
29 Sept
Ham-Kam 2
4 : 0
Mjolner
20 Sept
Mjolner
0 : 3
Fyllingsdalen
Page 1 of 6

Floya

(Away)
13 Sept
Kongsvinger 2
1 : 5
Floya
05 Sept
Floya
2 : 2
Skjetten
30 Aug
Harstad
3 : 2
Floya
23 Aug
Floya
5 : 3
Junkeren
15 Aug
Skjervoy
1 : 3
Floya
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Funnefoss/Vormsund 0
Eidsvold TF 2
Orn 0
Mjondalen 3
Sandviken 4
Bjarg 6
Fjora 2
Asane 5
Madla IL 3
V. Haugesund 5
Brodd 1
Sandnes Ulf 3
Hei 0
Pors 1
Askollen 1
Odds BK 3
Trygg/Lade 2
Stjordals Blink 3
Mosjoen 0
Levanger 4
Askoy 5
Sotra 4
Lyngbo 1
Brann 7
Senja 1
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 6
Heming 0
Lyn 2
Torvastad IL 2
Haugesund 1
Varhaug 0
Viking 5
Randesund 0
Jerv 2
Hallingdal 0
Stromsgodset 7
Traeff 5
Surnadal 1
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Rana FK 0
Junkeren 3
Bronnoysund 0
Bodo/Glimt 6
Gjellerasen 2
Strommen 4
Bjorkelangen 0
Lillestrom 7
Volda 1
Hodd 6
Spjelkavik 0
Aalesund 2
Nardo 2
Strindheim 4
Eide Omegn 0
Molde 5
Rade 2
Kvik Halden 0
Sprint-Jeloy 0
Moss 3
Honefoss 5
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Sarpsborg FK 1
Sarpsborg 08 5
Oppsal 3
Follo 1
Union Carl Berner 0
Valerenga 3
Mjolner 1
Floya 2
Sortland 0
Tromso 6
Flekkeroy 1
Sandefjord 0
Vidar 0
Egersund 1
Toten 1
Elverum 3
Ridabu 0
Ham-Kam 5
Melhus 1
Byasen 0
Tiller 0
Ranheim 3
Gamle Oslo 0
Skeid 2
Skreia 0
Raufoss 8
Flint 0
Eik-Tonsberg 6
Drobak-Frogn 0
Fredrikstad 10
Lorenskog 1
Ull/Kisa 2
Sverresborg IF 0
Rosenborg 6
Bossekop 1
Skjervoy 3
Kirkenes 0
Alta 11
Ullern 0
Baerum 2
Asker 0
Stabaek 2
Fram 2
Notodden 1
IL Express 1
Arendal 2
Mandalskameratene 2
Start 1
Forus og Gausel 0
Bryne 10
Nordstrand 0
Kjelsas 1
Nybergsund 0
Kongsvinger 8
Stord 5
Djerv 1919 4
Fana 0
Lysekloster 2
OS TF 0
Froya 2
Forde 2
Sogndal 6
Frigg 3
Grorud 1
Arvoll 0
KFUM Oslo 2
1/32-finals
Eidsvold TF 1
Mjondalen 0
Bjarg 0
Asane 3
V. Haugesund 0
Sandnes Ulf 4
Pors 0
Odds BK 1
Stjordals Blink 0
Levanger 1
Askoy 2
Brann 5
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
Lyn 1
Torvastad IL 3
Viking 4
Jerv 0
Stromsgodset 3
Traeff 1
Kristiansund 2
Junkeren 0
Bodo/Glimt 2
Strommen 4
Lillestrom 5
Hodd 1
Aalesund 0
Strindheim 1
Molde 2
Rade 2
Moss 1
Honefoss 1
Sarpsborg 08 2
Oppsal 0
Valerenga 4
Floya 0
Tromso 6
Flekkeroy 0
Egersund 1
Elverum 2
Ham-Kam 4
Melhus 1
Ranheim 5
Skeid 1
Raufoss 2
Eik-Tonsberg 2
Fredrikstad 5
Ull/Kisa 1
Rosenborg 3
Skjervoy 0
Alta 1
Baerum 0
Stabaek 5
Fram 0
Arendal 3
Mandalskameratene 0
Bryne 7
Kjelsas 3
Kongsvinger 2
Stord 0
Lysekloster 4
Froya 2
Sogndal 3
Frigg 0
KFUM Oslo 3
1/16-finals
Eidsvold TF 2
Asane 1
Sandnes Ulf 5
Odds BK 4
Levanger 1
Brann 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 0
Viking 4
Stromsgodset 4
Kristiansund 0
Bodo/Glimt 2
Lillestrom 4
Hodd 1
Molde 3
Rade 0
Sarpsborg 08 1
Valerenga 1
Tromso 0
Egersund 1
Ham-Kam 3
Ranheim 1
Raufoss 2
Fredrikstad 1
Rosenborg 0
Alta 3
Stabaek 4
Arendal 0
Bryne 1
Kjelsas 1
Lysekloster 2
Sogndal 1
KFUM Oslo 2
1/8-finals
Eidsvold TF 3
Sandnes Ulf 5
Levanger 4
Viking 2
Stromsgodset 3
Lillestrom 4
Molde 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
Valerenga 3
Ham-Kam 2
Raufoss 2
Fredrikstad 3
Stabaek 5
Bryne 1
Lysekloster 2
KFUM Oslo 3
Quarter-finals
Sandnes Ulf 2
Levanger 0
Lillestrom 1
Molde 2
Valerenga 0
Fredrikstad 1
Stabaek 2
KFUM Oslo 3
Semi-finals
Sandnes Ulf 0
Molde 2
Fredrikstad 1
KFUM Oslo 0
Final
Molde 0
Fredrikstad 1