Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mjolner vs Fredrikstad 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Vitolnieks R.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Arntsen F.
26' Event
Vitolnieks R.

AI Match Summary

Mjolner in this Division 3 - Group 6 2024 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mjolner.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mjolner
15%
Draws
85%
Fredrikstad 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fredrikstad 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mjolner haven't matched Fredrikstad 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fredrikstad 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mjolner Clean Sheet 18%
Fredrikstad 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjolner Fredrikstad 2
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.32 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Division 3 - Group 6
Fredrikstad 2 vs Mjolner
1:0
Jun 23, 2024 Division 3 - Group 6
Mjolner vs Fredrikstad 2
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjolner Compare

Top Goalscorer Arntsen F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Vitolnieks R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Fredrikstad 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bengescu A. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjolner 10 / 100
Fredrikstad 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjolner Fredrikstad 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredrikstad 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredrikstad 2 let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Mjolner found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Fredrikstad 2 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fredrikstad 2
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjolner

(Home)
27 Oct
Floya
4 : 2
Mjolner
20 Oct
Mjolner
1 : 3
Skjervoy
06 Oct
Mjolner
2 : 6
Ulfstind
29 Sept
Ham-Kam 2
4 : 0
Mjolner
20 Sept
Mjolner
0 : 3
Fyllingsdalen
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Fredrikstad 2

(Away)
26 Oct
Fredrikstad 2
4 : 1
Fram
20 Oct
Pors 2
0 : 2
Fredrikstad 2
11 Oct
Fredrikstad 2
4 : 1
Oppsal
06 Oct
Sarpsborg 08 2
2 : 4
Fredrikstad 2
02 Oct
Fredrikstad 2
0 : 5
Odds BK 2
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