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Mjolner vs Melbo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2020
Sun, Oct 4, 2020
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mjolner host Melbo in the Division 3 - Group 6 2020. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Mjolner have averaged 1.39 scored and 2.32 conceded recently, against Melbo's 1 scored and 1.87 conceded. Head-to-head, Mjolner have won 1 to Melbo's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2021, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.56) point toward Mjolner. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mjolner
15%
Draws
85%
Melbo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mjolner lately — more wins on the board than Melbo.
  • Model gives Melbo a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mjolner Clean Sheet 15%
Melbo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjolner Melbo
Matches Played 31 15
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2021 Division 3 - Group 6
Mjolner vs Melbo
1:0
Oct 4, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Mjolner vs Melbo
0:0
Sep 5, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Mjolner vs Melbo
0:0
May 1, 2019 NM Cup
Melbo vs Mjolner
1:0
Aug 13, 2016 Division 3 - Group 11
Mjolner vs Melbo
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjolner 23 / 100
Melbo 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjolner Melbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melbo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melbo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 15 matches.

Mjolner found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Melbo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mjolner VS Melbo
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjolner

(Home)
27 Oct
Floya
4 : 2
Mjolner
20 Oct
Mjolner
1 : 3
Skjervoy
06 Oct
Mjolner
2 : 6
Ulfstind
29 Sept
Ham-Kam 2
4 : 0
Mjolner
20 Sept
Mjolner
0 : 3
Fyllingsdalen
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Melbo

(Away)
13 Apr
Melbo
0 : 1
Sortland
30 Oct
Melbo
1 : 3
Bodo/Glimt 2
23 Oct
Ullern
4 : 0
Melbo
17 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1
Skeid 2
10 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 1
Melbo
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