Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mjondalen vs Bjarg

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Consto Arena, Mjøndalen
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Midtgard O.
46'
Sub
Jorgensen J. In: Stronstad-Loseth S.
Out: Jorgensen J.
46'
Sub
Stephensen K. In: Fromreide Aasbo E.
Out: Stephensen K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Mjondalen and Bjarg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mjondalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Mjondalen
17%
Draws
13%
Bjarg
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mjondalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Mjondalen haven't matched Bjarg's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Mjondalen taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mjondalen Clean Sheet 12%
Bjarg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjondalen Bjarg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Mjondalen vs Bjarg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjondalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Midtgard O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bjarg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjondalen 65 / 100
Bjarg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjondalen Bjarg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MJO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mjondalen found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Bjarg let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Mjondalen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mjondalen VS Bjarg
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjondalen

(Home)
27 Jun
Mjondalen
1 : 0
Bjarg
20 Jun
Notodden
1 : 2
Mjondalen
13 Jun
Mjondalen
3 : 3
Kvik Halden
31 May
Pors
1 : 0
Mjondalen
23 May
Mjondalen
4 : 0
Sandviken
Page 1 of 6

Bjarg

(Away)
27 Jun
Mjondalen
1 : 0
Bjarg
20 Jun
Bjarg
3 : 1
Vidar
14 Jun
Traeff
2 : 3
Bjarg
30 May
Bjarg
2 : 0
Eik-Tonsberg
25 May
Sotra
1 : 2
Bjarg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jerv12102025:1032
2Brattvag1281322:925
3Kvik Halden1273222:1324
4Mjondalen1272322:1523
5Bjarg1271422:1922
6Sotra1253424:1318
7Notodden1253419:1118
8Traeff1244423:2116
9Pors1243514:1715
10Arendal1225514:2011
11Lysekloster1225515:2411
12Sandviken1232711:2211
13Eik-Tonsberg1211108:264
14Vidar120399:303
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)