Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mjondalen vs Bjarg

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Consto Arena, Mjøndalen
Mjondalen Logo

Mjondalen

1 - 0
FT
Bjarg Logo

Bjarg

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Midtgard O.
46'
Sub
Jorgensen J. In: Stronstad-Loseth S.
Out: Jorgensen J.
46'
Sub
Stephensen K. In: Fromreide Aasbo E.
Out: Stephensen K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Mjondalen and Bjarg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mjondalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mjondalen
15%
Draws
57%
Bjarg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bjarg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mjondalen haven't matched Bjarg's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Bjarg taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Mjondalen Clean Sheet 10%
Bjarg Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjondalen Bjarg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.62 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Bjarg vs Mjondalen
1:0
Jun 27, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Mjondalen vs Bjarg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjondalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Midtgard O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bjarg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjondalen 10 / 100
Bjarg 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjondalen Bjarg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjarg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mjondalen found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Bjarg let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mjondalen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mjondalen VS Bjarg
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjondalen

(Home)
19 Sept
Mjondalen
3 : 1
Sotra
12 Sept
Lysekloster
2 : 3
Mjondalen
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
30 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 0
Mjondalen
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
Page 1 of 6

Bjarg

(Away)
20 Sept
Bjarg
6 : 1
Traeff
16 Sept
Bjarg
1 : 4
Bryne
12 Sept
Vidar
1 : 4
Bjarg
06 Sept
Bjarg
4 : 0
Arendal
30 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 0
Mjondalen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 20 15 3 2 43:18 48
2 Brattvag 20 12 3 5 41:24 39
3 Mjondalen 20 12 2 6 36:27 38
4 Sotra 20 11 3 6 42:20 36
5 Bjarg 19 11 2 6 36:25 35
6 Notodden 19 9 5 5 26:15 32
7 Kvik Halden 20 9 4 7 28:24 31
8 Traeff 19 8 6 5 35:30 30
9 Arendal 19 7 5 7 27:30 26
10 Pors 19 5 5 9 20:27 20
11 Sandviken 20 5 4 11 29:43 19
12 Lysekloster 19 3 5 11 21:40 14
13 Vidar 20 2 4 14 18:53 10
14 Eik-Tonsberg 20 2 1 17 21:47 7
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)