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MKS Mlawa vs Sokol Ostroda Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Stryjewski Mi.
20' Event
Stryjewski Ma.
30' Event
Rojkowski T.

AI Match Summary

MKS Mlawa in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored MKS Mlawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
MKS Mlawa
15%
Draws
42%
Sokol Ostroda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MKS Mlawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • MKS Mlawa have won more games recently than Sokol Ostroda.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and MKS Mlawa have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 20%
Sokol Ostroda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MKS Mlawa Sokol Ostroda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.29 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
MKS Mlawa vs Sokol Ostroda
4:0
Mar 18, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs MKS Mlawa
1:4
Aug 17, 2022 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Sokol Ostroda
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MKS Mlawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Stryjewski Mi.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stryjewski Ma.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Sokol Ostroda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MKS Mlawa 31 / 100
Sokol Ostroda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MKS Mlawa Sokol Ostroda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MKS Mlawa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MKS Mlawa scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Sokol Ostroda let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Away concern: Sokol Ostroda has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MKS Mlawa VS Sokol Ostroda
2.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MKS Mlawa

(Home)
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2
LKS Lodz II
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3
MKS Mlawa
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Sokol Ostroda

(Away)
02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2
Kleczew
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0
Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2
Sokol Ostroda
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1
Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
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